Thursday Night Football: Jacksonville Jaguars Vs. New York Jets Making A Bet Preview (odds, Lines, Exceptional Bets) Betting Selections Pff

• Bet New York Jets the total over 37: PFF Greenline unearths an facet of just about three% New York Jets on the over 37 at a -a hundred and ten charge, and PFF’s play-by means of-play simulation has a mean expectation of New York Jets 41.

• Trevor Lawrence below 0.5 interceptions: At a plus-price New York Jets imparting, PFF’s player prop tool unearths an edge of 6.9% at the New York Jets Barstool charge of +116. PFF’s play-with the aid of-play simulation is more bullish on Lawrence’s chances, displaying a close to-60% chance New York Jets New York Jets that he doesn’t throw an interception on Thursday night.

• Travis Etienne below sixteen.five yards longest rush: Despite an uptick in extent over the past three weeks, Etienne has visible a drastic reduction in his explosive runs. He hasn’t recorded a hurry of greater than 16.5 yards on account that Week nine and has very plenty been held in test, with this Jaguars offense operating through Trevor Lawrence’s arm.

Estimated reading time: four minutes

Let’s dive into the excellent bets for Thursday night time’s AFC showdown between two playoff hopefuls inside the Jacksonville Jaguars and New York Jets.THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL GAME LINES

This unfold maintains to dance among threes as we head closer to kickoff — each groups have frolicked as 1.5-point favorites this week — but the market now appears settled at the Jets on this matchup.

Outside of the quarterback role, the Jets’ injury scenario appears to have damaged proper, however they’re still ready on Quinnen Williams‘ availability as he battles a calf damage. They will also be missing wide receiver intensity, although Corey Davis is about to return after lacking closing week’s matchup with a concussion. 

Jacksonville faces more key damage questions, as tackle Cam Robinson initiatives to be a massive loss in opposition to a Jets skip-rush that New York Jets ranks fourth in skip-rush grade as a unit. Should Williams be precise to go, New York will have a awesome benefit in nearly every side of play.

PFF Greenline buys into this narrative, displaying 1.nine% fee on the Jets to cowl a -2, -110 spread.

PFF’s play-through-play simulation provides an opposite outlook, awaiting the Jaguars to cowl and win outright via a three-factor margin. 

Given that the 2 fashions are break up — and that we are still anticipating New York Jets crucial harm statistics — this looks New York Jets like a spot to attend New York Jets on, as confirmation of Williams’ availability might swing this matchup heavily inside the Jets’ favor. If he cannot go, there’s a case to be made for the Jaguars, New York Jets mainly if comfortable waiting for an in-recreation spot to look how the Jaguars attack this New York Jets protection. 

The general is the best game market that PFF’s making a bet version and play-through-play simulation agree on. The weather is particularly regarding, however this total losing to 37 seems way too big a movement from each models.

PFF Greenline unearths nearly three% fee on going over that number at a -one hundred ten charge, and the play-via-play simulation has an average expectation of forty one.

This is some other bet that Quinnen Williams’ availability could have an effect on. His absence would boost the Jaguars’ league-common dashing unit, and that looks like the most feasible route for New York Jets them to maintain offensive achievement against one of the pleasant defenses in the NFL. If that happens early, we should New York Jets without problems see sufficient factors to complete well over this total. Best guess 

  • Over 37 (-106)
  • Playable as much as 37.five at -110


Player props are one of the quality approaches to making a bet on the NFL. If interested in macro developments from the past three seasons, take a look at out my midseason prop article here.

One manner to continually locate defined edges with out blindly having a bet unders is by means of utilizing PFF’s player props device. The ability to regulate each wide variety and price means you are continually positive of the anticipated value for each prop bet. Let’s dive into the satisfactory player props to wager for the NFL Thursday night time recreation. Trevor Lawrence: Under zero.five interceptions

Lawrence is the NFL’s maximum-graded quarterback considering that Week nine, and a huge a part of that improvement has come from him higher defensive the ball. 

Lawrence positioned up a 3.9% turnover-worth play percent through Week 8, but that has on account that dipped to 2.eight%. He’s additionally been at the proper aspect of interception variance, with 5 of his six turnover-worthy performs all through that stretch not ensuing in an interception.

At a plus-price providing, PFF’s player prop tool reveals a 6.9% fee on the Barstool fee of +116. PFF’s play-by means of-play simulation is more bullish on Lawrence’s chances, displaying a close to-60% chance that he doesn’t throw an interception on Thursday night time.

If the climate influences the quantity of pass attempts for the Jacksonville Jaguars, then this seems like one of the satisfactory participant props to wager. Travis Etienne: Under 16.five yards longest rush

Despite an uptick in volume over the past 3 weeks, Etienne has visible a drastic discount in his explosive runs. He hasn’t recorded a hurry of greater than 16.five yards given that Week nine and has very a good deal been held in check, with this Jaguars offense working through Trevor Lawrence’s arm.

This prop is pending Quinnen Williams’ harm popularity, however if he is within the fold, this should be an smooth spot to head below all over again.

PFF’s play-via-play simulation sees this as an smooth victory, with Etienne finishing below in fifty four% of simulations.

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL Anytime TD Scorer (Pricing via BetMGM compared to PFF simulations)

Anytime TD choose: Zay Jones, Jacksonville Jaguars (+240)

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