Hold on. Give me a 2d. I’m nonetheless jottJacksonville Jaguars ing down notes from final week. I’m still looking to technique the chaos from four days Jacksonville Jacksonville Jaguars Jaguars of fantasy movement. And the fallout from a pair of these video games has been equally thoughts-boggling. But permit’s set that apart for a matchup with actual and fable Jacksonville Jaguars playoff implications this night.
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Jacksonville pulJacksonville Jaguars led off a lovely disillusioned on Sunday as the rest of the AFC South took on every other loss. The Jaguars are one recreation back from the Titans, with a rematch against Tennessee coming in Week 18. Meanwhile, the Jets switched quarterbacks and playoff seeding Jacksonville Jaguars after a loss to Detroit. We’ve were given signifiJacksonville Jaguars cant football with a few fantasy belongings really worth rostering, so allow’s take a closer observe the matchup to kick off the semifinals.The Jets make a very last stand against the roaring Jaguars on TNF
I’m now not sure what else there may be to mention about Trevor Lawrence. It’s no longer time to crown him the following elite passer. However, we ought to be past all of the early-season concerns.
Lawrence has been the delusion QB3 considering that Jacksonville’s Week 11 bye. He’s seventh in EPA according to play with the most passing touchdowns over this 4-game stretch. To be honest, one-score games against Baltimore and Tennessee have buoyed a number of his manufacturing. But the enhancements we anticipated from the offense are there, as they rank eighth in yards in step with drive. Lawrence is available in as a perimeter pinnacle-12 myth alternative at quarterback, but a matchup towards the Jets’ pass rush might be but another hard check for the younger signal-caller.
Josh Allen, Joe Burrow and Lamar Jackson are the most effective quarterbacks with QB1 finishes in opposition to New York. Burrow tilted the sport in his Jacksonville Jaguars desire on multiple Jacksonville Jaguars explosive plays, and Jackson did something comparable in Week 1.
Trevor’s a massive-sport hunter though, with a 12.four aDOT underneath strain. Despite the offensive line injuries, I’ve were given thoughts on how that issue in their passing sport is viable. But truly, the sport surroundings hinges on how nicely the Jets offense comes collectively for a capacity ultimate stand.
The downfield aggression is alive and nicely within the Jets offense, even after the quarterback alternate. I thought a conservative plan to ease Zach Wilson back in made a few sense. But Mike LaFleur took a “grip it and rip it” approach — with blended effects.
Wilson completed because the QB9 in Week 15. It became his first time returned inside the top 12 due to the fact Week 4. But Jacksonville Jaguars whilst the yardage and touchdown totals appearance marvelous, some of the identical underlying troubles nonetheless exist.
Wilson become 21st in of entirety percentage over expected in opposition to a defense that got here into the game ranked 27th in dropback achievement charge allowed. I’ll get to the interception rapidly, but it highlighted one in every of his largest flaws. He’s nevertheless inefficient within the best-case eventualities. With no pressure from a clean pocket, Wilson changed into twenty sixth in EPA according to play (with screens and RPOs removed).
So, despite perfect conditions, we still don’t understand what to anticipate from him.
Garrett Wilson is the handiest straightforward Jets choice for those nonetheless alive within the delusion playoffs. He led the team in routes and targets even as securing one among their three red-zone appears. I nevertheless agree with inside the Jets’ ground recreation (more on Zonovan Knight later), but if the team has to keep up tonight, look for Wilson (and Wilson) to lead the fee.Points of Interest for TNFTrevor Lawrence below fireplace
We already got drama heading into the sport, with both teams vying for a playoff spot. Nobody desired accidents to smash the exhilaration. But the soccer gods determined to growth the issue degree for the Jaguars tonight:
And, of route, this comes on the heels of the Jets superstar rusher Quinnen Williams logging his first complete practice for the reason that Week 14. The situation puts even greater stress on Lawrence’s pocket management. However, he’s already one of the satisfactory inside the Jacksonville Jaguars league at doing it.
Trevor Lawrence strain-to-sack ratio for fantasy analysis. (Data courtesy of PFF)
Lawrence’s strain-to-sack ratio is the 8th-lowest in the league, per PFF. And, for context, he has the thirteenth-most pressures of any starting quarterback. After looking him spin his way out of a jam in opposition to the Cowboys, I laughed (until I noticed the result). He’s labored well at times out of shape all through the season, but he nonetheless wishes to improve with what happens after he avoids the defenders.
I want to look how the sophomore quarterback responds under (extra) fireplace. Over the remaining month, Lawrence’s on-goal passing rate has dropped from 79.8 percent from a clean pocket to 65.9% whilst pressured. His 12.4 aDOT may be a factor, but the Jets’ perimeter coverage may additionally restriction those shots downfield. But if Lawrence can adapt, as he’s proven, we may get another spotlight-reel performance towards a difficult defense.Elijah Moore: Vibes Check
It’s been a rollercoaster of a season for Elijah Moore. He dropped from the beginning rotation as change Jacksonville Jaguars rumors picked up around midseason, after which he Jacksonville Jaguars located the cease quarter for the first time in Week 12. But the skip came from Mike White, now not Wilson. Wilson’s chemistry with Moore become the difficulty of a great deal communique back in October. And I’m thinking if some thing’s modified with the playoffs on the line.
Moore’s Week 15 box rating seems first-rate (7-fifty one-zero), and he ran the second-most routes on the crew. But a closer look offers off awful vibes. He didn’t see his first target until halfway via the second one area. Denzel Mims and Jeff Smith jumbled in in advance, together with C.J. Uzomah. Moore got two appears on the team’s 5th drive, after which, Wilson accomplished a self-parody:
If you be aware, as the Lions’ defenders pass duck hunting, Moore changed into the meant goal. Afterward, he didn’t see some other until the fourth quarter as the crew trailed. Moore tallied 20 of his fifty one yards on a remaining-second dart to installation the potential sport-tying discipline purpose. Without context, Braxton Berrios (six objectives) and Smith (seventy seven yards) either had the equal opportunity or got more yards. So, Moore turns into a tough player to accept as true with for the myth playoffs.
Smith will pass over the game, however Corey Davis may be again in the lineup. And we just watched a shifty interior receiver from the Cowboys dice up the Jaguars for 126 yards a few days ago. Moore’s talent isn’t in query, however I’m fascinated to peer if his role solidifies at a vital factor for the crew.Don’t Bench These Guys
It’s a Thursday night game, and the playoffs are on the road. Those things on my own might make any myth supervisor 2nd-wager themselves. But allow’s not lineup tinker an excessive amount of. A couple of gamers have entered the myth highlight over the last few weeks. And, notwithstanding the quick week, they ought to nonetheless be on our beginning roster unless you’ve got top-tier alternatives to apply alternatively.Zay Jones
Since their bye, Zay Jones has led all Jacksonville skip catchers in objectives, yards and touchdowns. He even ranks between DeVonta Smith and Jaylen Waddle with a 2.25 YPRR. But Jacksonville Jaguars Christian Kirk’s the slot man, and his function increases Jones’ possibilities of having “lost inside the sauce.” However, I’m now not as involved.
I don’t think Doug Pederson will absolutely scheme the veteran receiver far from Sauce Gardner. But alignment versatility is already built into how Jacksonville deploys Jones. He’s no longer a static target like different players in less innovative offenses.
Zay Jones route alignment. (Data courtesy of Sports Info Solutions)
According to SIS, Gardner has performed 56.2% of his insurance snaps from the left protective role. Meanwhile, Jones has moved across the formation with similar path rates on both facets of the sphere. So, fantasy managers don’t should imagine a situation wherein Jones doesn’t see Gardner each play. It’s already a characteristic of the offense.Zonovan Knight
Many oldsters might feel burned by means of “Bam” Knight after his 23-yard dud on Sunday. But they possibly didn’t know the “roar is restored” in Detroit. The Lions are fourth in dashing EPA allowed during the last month. So, I can forgive a setback in production, considering his opportunity share remains intact.
Zonovan Knight speeding share. (Photo with the aid of Chris Allen/Yahoo Sports)
Knight dominates the contact count within the areas we need for an RB2. He’s carried the ball on 29 of the 36 early downs and left just one tote for Michael Carter with 3 or fewer yards to move. He’s even earned the majority of the red-sector work. The quarterback alternate, and the ensuing sport script, probable affected Knight’s Week 15 utilization. But there’s no doubt who the better backfield choice is for the Jets.
Since Carter’s return to the lineup, Knight is first in forced overlooked tackles and 9th in explosive runs. With Jacksonville ranking 29th in rushing success price, Knight have to be a pinnacle-24 option for any myth supervisor.Listen to the Yahoo Fantasy Football Forecast